NATO Secretary General Warns Ukraine Is Dropping More Ammunition Than Western Countries

As most of the world seems to have entered, the war in Ukraine continues to rage, with recent unprecedented and historic airstrikes by unidentified flying objects over North American soil. If these floating mysteries are mere distractions to take our eyes off the ball – or should I say, we should keep our eyes skyward and away from the escalating conflict in Eastern Europe.

No doubt these mysterious objects that have followed Chinese spy balloons over our territory have some thinking about alien invasion, and others are speculating as to whether these UFOs are simply evidence that our near-peer adversaries are ramping up their passive aggression. One thing is for sure, we are definitely in the depths of a new Cold War, and Ukraine is at the center.

Can the West continue to support Ukraine in its efforts to defeat the Russian aggressor, and what price are we willing to pay? The NATO Secretary General has warned that we could reach the bottom of the arms barrel if the war continues.

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Supply chain issues

While we were all staring at the sky this week, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg was busy with ammunition deliveries.

“The war in Ukraine is consuming large amounts of munitions and depleting allied stockpiles,” Secretary Stoltenberg warned this week.

“Ukraine’s current rate of ammunition expenditure is many times higher than our current rate of production,” he continued, singing a tune familiar to us in the US. Understandably, as this has strained our military-industrial complex, Western European countries feel the strain as well.

For example, France sent an additional 12 on top of the original 18 Caesar truck-mounted 155 mm howitzers in its already small inventory of 76. Some of the smaller Western European countries are completely depleted, such as Estonia, which sent 24 of them. FH-70 towed 155 mm howitzer.

Additionally, Britain committed to sending 30 of its 89 AS90 self-propelled 155mm howitzers. So, just as some are raising the alarm in our own country, the same thing is starting to happen in Europe.

“This is practically the entire Danish artillery that Denmark is giving Ukraine in one blow,” the Danish Broadcasting Corporation noted after their Caesar move.

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An old solution

In addition to draining arms supplies to the West, Ukraine has the added challenge of getting the weapons it needs on the front lines. But there are silent whispers that a solution is just around the corner.

British arms executives recently traveled to Ukraine to discuss the possibility of manufacturing British arms and military vehicles in Ukraine. With an extended time to get weapons into Ukraine after approval, this could significantly shorten that time gap.

The strategy of cozying up to the UK is calculated Jeff Hahn, a fellow at the New Lines Institute, noted, “The special relationship between the US and the UK will likely feature in their calculations as a way to bring the UK on board. To facilitate US involvement.” The idea here is that if the UK starts manufacturing processes in Ukraine, the US will follow.

Mr. Hahn explained that the arrangement would be seen as beneficial to the United States, since “it would integrate Ukraine into the Western defense sector and make it more self-sufficient, while Ukraine has expanded its own stockpiles far beyond what the United States would have liked by arming itself.”

Could this be the answer to the problems of the West’s defense apparatus?

“Large-caliber ammunition has increased from 12 to 28 months,” Mr. Stoltenberg said, adding that “orders placed today will be delivered only two and a half years later.”

This means that the war will have to be extended further than expected, or that countries that have reduced their supplies will be significantly less prepared to face an invasion on their land.

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Normalizing the Cold War

It should come as no surprise to anyone who is a student of history that this proposal to arm Ukraine could be a quality solution. It was not so long ago that Ukraine was a center of arms production.

As Mr. Hahn points out, “Ukraine had an extensive military-industrial complex during the USSR, which suffered greatly after the Cold War, as it lost its main customers and was then looted by oligarchs – but it still has very good long-term. A military -Elements for Industrial Bases.”

how convenient

But building these ammunition factories would take time and present a significant risk given the current state of the war. Furthermore, although Russia is not well known for its missile accuracy, it can still hit targets inside Ukraine, as seen daily.

Losing Western-built ammunition and weapons factories to the Russians would be devastating. But what can happen now is the slowing down of this complex on the outskirts of Ukraine in neighboring countries.

Russo-Ukrainian war expert Huseyn Aliyev predicts that we should “expect Ukrainian production to begin in Poland near the border and then move to Ukraine once it is safe as the conflict nears its end…” and hence the ‘new’ normal’. is the ‘old normal’ of the Cold War, albeit with a few minor branding changes.

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